Fascinating to see the clarity from 2024’s ex-Conservative voters (as they see it) on most of the international and ‘anti-West’ issues (eg mass immigration and some DEI policies etc), but not on Climate or Tax. I was initially surprised, but then (given my stats background) we are talking about ex-Con voters which includes in turn a lot of previous Red Wall. I think this causes the split. In time I think it will become clearer that the social security ‘protection’ that people currently want cannot be provided by government as public service provision erodes despite Labour maintaining public funding. Then a sense of markets being better than protective government might be the feeling in the centre ground by 2027-29. So Reform could gently stay right on Climate and Tax while the electorate moves towards them?
Ex-Con views and the Conservatives. Response to poll of Ex-Conservatives by Matt Goodwin today
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